1.3
The impact of multiplexes: survey evidence
In this section we review the evidence from the research into the characteristics
of multiplex cinemas and the determination of their success. The LE/BIPE
survey of over 1,000 screens provides essential information about individual
cinemas in Europe and manages to convey the characteristic features of
the cinema sector with respect to different categories: single screen,
multi-screen and multiplex. The analysis includes the results of a set
of interviews with European multiplex operators. It also includes econometric
analysis of the success of multiplex, with success defined as higher seat
utilisation, and a breakdown of the costs of building a multiplex.
Characteristics of multiplexes in Europe
Table 13 shows the distribution of screens in all EU countries (with
the exception of Luxembourg), produced from the LE/BIPE survey. Results
from the survey have been corrected for the total number of screens in
all countries and are therefore representative of the population. The data
confirms the profile of cinema screens obtained from other sources. There
are some inconsistencies, however, for Germany and Spain, largely due to
changes in the exhibition sector in those countries(9).
The different sources refer to different years (1992 for the MEDIA Salles
Yearbook and 1993 for the survey).
Table 13
Number of Screens per Cinema: Share of total screens
|
Country
|
1 Screen
|
2 Screens
|
3-5 Screens
|
6-7 Screens
|
8 + Screens
|
Belgium |
22.1%
|
10.8%
|
36.6%
|
8.8%
|
21.7%
|
Denmark |
34.9%
|
21.8%
|
36.7%
|
4%
|
2.5%
|
France |
32%
|
13.5%
|
36%
|
13.5%
|
5%
|
Germany |
36.8%
|
20.8%
|
37.3%
|
0.8%
|
4.6%
|
Greece |
99%
|
1%
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Ireland |
17.2%
|
25.8%
|
36.5%
|
3.2%
|
17.2%
|
Italy |
96.5%
|
2%
|
1.5%
|
-
|
- (1)
|
Netherlands |
14.9%
|
21%
|
59.4%
|
4.6%
|
-
|
Portugal |
76%
|
9.5%
|
8.5%
|
-
|
6%
|
Spain |
56.4%
|
8.2%
|
22.4%
|
8.2%
|
4.8%
|
UK |
18.2%
|
12.4%
|
33%
|
11.4%
|
25%
|
Total |
51%
|
11.8%
|
25.9%
|
5.3%
|
6.1%
|
(1) In Italy the only cinema totalling more than 8 screens
is Odeon in Milano (10 screens)
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
The countries of Southern Europe (Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece) are
all characterised by a much higher number of single screen cinemas. Greece,
in particular, has only single screen cinemas, with the exception of one
two-screen site. In addition, most of the Greek cinemas are only open for
a limited number of months in the year (either summer or winter). Also
in Italy the majority of cinemas are single-screen. There is only one cinema
totalling more than 8 screens: Odeon, in Milano (10 screens).
Table 14 shows the number of seats in screens belonging to five different
types of cinema: the single screen, double screen, small and medium sized
complexes (3-5 and 6-7 screens, respectively) and multiplexes.
The table shows that the average number of seats per screen is highest
for single screen cinemas and progressively decreases with multi-screen
cinemas. Multiplexes are characterised by a higher average number of seats
than seven-screens (or less) complexes. As the more detailed distribution
in the table shows, this is mainly because three to five screen complexes
have more screens in the smallest classes. Multiplex cinemas also show
a high share of screens with 150-249 seats.
Table 14
Number of Seats per Screen
|
Type of cinema
|
<100
|
101-149
|
150-249
|
250-499
|
500 - 999
|
1,000+
|
Average
|
1 Screen |
3.0
|
6.5
|
13.8
|
27.6
|
41.5
|
7.6
|
528.5
|
2 Screens |
17.4
|
17.0
|
27.4
|
25.4
|
11.6
|
1.2
|
263.2
|
3 - 5 Screens |
18.4
|
21.0
|
30.3
|
23.2
|
5.6
|
1.5
|
236.5
|
6 - 7 Screens |
14.0
|
14.0
|
28.8
|
30.2
|
11.3
|
1.6
|
288.0
|
8 Screens + |
10.6
|
18.2
|
38.0
|
23.2
|
4.8
|
5.2
|
316.3
|
Total |
11.7
|
14.9
|
26.1
|
25.5
|
17.7
|
4.0
|
348.7
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil |
Table 15 shows the range of ancillary services available in cinemas
across Europe. Sales of snacks or ice creams, be it in the auditorium or
via automatic machines, is a common feature of all types of cinemas, particularly
for small and medium sized complexes. Differences between the five types
of cinemas become far more important with restaurants and other services.
Over 30% of the multiplexes in the sample offer videos for sale and 33%
have a poster shop. A similar proportion of multiplexes offer other types
of services on top of this basic range. Also, the percentage of cinemas
with restaurants is far higher among multiplexes. This trend is broadly
confirmed when the range of services available in cinemas is analyzed on
a country by country basis. Cinemas in Portugal offer the richest range
of services: all cinemas have a bar or cafe counter and over 40% of the
sites are also equipped with a restaurant (the highest percentage in the
study) or bookshop, poster shop or video shop. The UK and Belgium also
offer a range of services that tends to be above average. On the opposite
end of the spectrum are Greece, where cinemas always have a bar counter
but little else, and Italy, where the level of each ancillary service is
below the all country average.
Table 15
Ancillary Services Offered at the Cinema
Percentage of Total Number of Sites
|
Type of cinema
|
Single Screen
|
2
Screens
|
3 - 5 Screens
|
6-7 Screens
|
8 + Screens
|
Average
|
Automatic drinks/snacks dispenser |
10.7
|
19.3
|
31.5
|
59.4
|
22.9
|
24.6
|
Sales of ice creams, drinks in theatre |
34.8
|
65.1
|
79.8
|
82.9
|
66.1
|
62.2
|
Bar, counter or cafe |
69.6
|
61.1
|
66.3
|
61.0
|
73.7
|
67.8
|
Restaurant |
3.4
|
6.6
|
5
|
-
|
17.3
|
6.7
|
Bookshop |
5.3
|
10.8
|
5.8
|
0.2
|
16.1
|
7.7
|
Poster shop |
9.7
|
14.7
|
10.1
|
5.4
|
33.0
|
14.5
|
Video shop |
2.5
|
4.6
|
8.2
|
21.7
|
32.1
|
11.9
|
Other |
6
|
8.3
|
5
|
1.2
|
30.9
|
10.4
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil |
Table 16:
Cinemas with computerised ticket counters
|
Type of cinema |
1 Screen
|
2 Screens
|
3-5 Screens
|
6-7 Screens
|
8+ Screens
|
Total
|
% of total screens |
7.1
|
30.8
|
50.4
|
62.3
|
90
|
42.5
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil |
Table 17:
Parking arrangements
|
Type of cinema |
1
Screen
|
2 Screens
|
3-5 Screens
|
6-7 Screens
|
8+ screens
|
Total
|
No parking arrangements |
75.3
|
55.8
|
71.3
|
65.0
|
15.3
|
60
|
Cinema's own parking |
12.5
|
23.6
|
11.6
|
27.6
|
40.6
|
19.8
|
Free or reduced fare at nearby parking managed
by others |
12.2
|
20.6
|
17.1
|
7.4
|
44.1
|
20.1
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil |
While slightly more than half the small complexes have a computerised
ticket counter, the proportion of multiplexes with such facilities is 90%.
Clearly, for single screen cinemas it is not imperative to install expensive
computer equipment, while for the multiplex it becomes almost essential.
Also, over two thirds of the multiplexes have some sort of parking facility,
as opposed to only a quarter of the single screens and a third of multi-screens.
The tables below show the main technical characteristics of cinema
screens. More than one type of projection and sound equipment is possible
for each screen, and therefore the totals add up to more than 100%.
Table 18 groups the five types of cinemas according to the size of
their screens. The pattern is broadly similar to that of Table 14, as bigger
screens command a higher number of seats.
Table 18:
Screen Size
|
Type of cinema
|
< 15 m2
|
15 - 24 m2
|
25 - 49 m2
|
50 - 99 m2
|
100 m2 and over
|
Average screen area
|
1 Screen |
5.3
|
15.3
|
24.6
|
49.9
|
4.9
|
54.8
|
2 Screens |
19
|
34
|
24.7
|
17.1
|
5.1
|
34.1
|
3 - 5 Screens |
21.6
|
35
|
23.7
|
15.3
|
4.4
|
36.7
|
6 - 7 Screens |
14.1
|
27.2
|
25.9
|
20.6
|
12.2
|
55.4
|
8 + Screens |
18.1
|
16.6
|
39.1
|
20.4
|
5.8
|
40.6
|
TOTAL |
14.8
|
24.4
|
27.2
|
28
|
5.6
|
44.8
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
Table 19:
Projection Equipment
|
Type of cinema
|
16 mm
|
35 mm
|
70 mm
|
VIDEO
|
OTHER
|
1 Screen |
12.2
|
98.5
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
0.9
|
2 Screens |
15.9
|
99.3
|
5
|
4.4
|
-
|
3 - 5 Screens |
9.6
|
98.4
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
3.3
|
6 - 7 Screens |
0.8
|
100
|
3.3
|
-
|
-
|
8 + Screens |
3.8
|
100
|
4.4
|
2.7
|
-
|
TOTAL |
9.1
|
99
|
5.8
|
3
|
1.3
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
Table 20
Sound Equipment
|
Type of cinema
|
DOLBY
|
THX
|
SR
|
OTHER
|
1 Screen |
69.1
|
1.7
|
16
|
27.6
|
2 Screens |
68.4
|
-
|
17.9
|
29
|
3 - 5 Screens |
73.6
|
0.6
|
29.6
|
23.6
|
6 - 7 Screens |
92.7
|
3.3
|
35.5
|
7.0
|
8 + Screens |
78.2
|
6.4
|
49.1
|
17.7
|
TOTAL |
74.6
|
2.3
|
28.7
|
22.5
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
Table 21
Air Conditioning
|
Type of cinema
|
Air conditioning
|
No air conditioning
|
Intermediate system
|
1 Screen |
34
|
49.1
|
16.9
|
2 Screens |
48.8
|
37.6
|
13.6
|
3 - 5 Screens |
54.1
|
30.3
|
15.7
|
6 - 7 Screens |
74.5
|
5.9
|
19.5
|
8 + Screens |
87.7
|
12.3
|
-
|
TOTAL |
55.3
|
31.1
|
13.6
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
Multiplexes and medium sized multi-screen complexes have superior technological
features in both projection and sound equipment. Whereas 6-7 screen cinemas
are also more likely than any other cinema type to have a very large screen
in the site, multiplexes show superiority over other types of cinema in
sound equipment, by offering more THX, SR and other sound systems.
Nearly 90% of multiplex screens have the comfort of air conditioning,
compared to 54% of three to five screen complexes.
In general, there is clear evidence that multiplexes offer a range
of facilities unmatched by the other types of cinemas. They have better
technology standards than either the smaller complex or the single screens.
Access to most multiplexes is made easier by parking arrangements and computerised
ticketing systems. In a multiplex, viewers have a greater choice of shopping
and catering facilities.
The main feature of multiplexes, however, is the fact that the more
expensive and up-market overheads can be shared among a greater number
of screens. Lower costs per screen combine with a more flexible use of
screen capacity to increase the profitability of the cinema. However, the
survey did not pick up sufficient financial information to provide evidence
for this well-known proposition.
Since the price of admissions varies significantly between countries,
irrespective of the number of screens, capacity utilisation is a better
measure of the performance of the cinema. Table 22 shows the number of
admissions per seat in each of the five type of cinemas hitherto discussed.
The figures in the table are based on the admissions reported for each
screen during the week of the survey.
Table 22
Number of Admissions per Seat per Week
|
Type of cinema
|
<1 admission per seat
|
1 - 2.99 admissions per seat
|
3 - 4.99 admissions per seat
|
5 - 9.99 admissions per seat
|
Over 10 admissions per seat
|
Average admission per seat
|
1 Screen |
48.9
|
32.2
|
11.1
|
6.4
|
1.4
|
1.9
|
2 Screens |
43.8
|
32.6
|
15.8
|
6.7
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
3 - 5 Screens |
34.3
|
31.3
|
16.4
|
12.7
|
5.3
|
3.3
|
6 - 7 Screens |
13.6
|
39.9
|
14.9
|
19.1
|
12.6
|
4.87
|
8 + Screens |
11.1
|
19.3
|
19.2
|
22.8
|
27.6
|
7.73
|
TOTAL |
34.7
|
31.3
|
14.9
|
12
|
7.1
|
3.4
|
SOURCE: MEDIA Salles/LE/BIPE Conseil
Nearly half the single screen cinemas recorded less than one admission
per seat during the week of the survey, and the proportion of cinemas with
this level of capacity utilisation decreases when the number of screens
increases. More significantly, the average level of capacity utilisation
for multiplexes is over three times as high as that for single screens
and significantly higher than that of smaller complexes.
Overall, the survey illustrates the differences between single screen
cinemas, multi-screen cinemas and multiplexes. The differences in terms
of facilities and equipment are fairly marked between these types. The
number of seats and the size of screens is generally smaller for the multiplexes
which have a large proportion of their screens in the 150-200 seat category
with a 25-49m² screen. Multi-screen cinemas with 6-7 screens do not
appear to differ very markedly in terms of facilities and equipment from
the category of multiplex cinemas which are defined here as cinemas with
more than 8 screens.
Multiplexes in Europe: the views of the UK industry
London Economics undertook a small number of interviews with companies
in the exhibition and distribution sectors in the UK to seek their views
on the impact of multiplexes on the industry, and the likely development
of multiplexes in other countries in Europe. London Economics spoke to
representatives of Warner Brothers, MGM Cinemas, Mayfair (a company which
distributes what it calls "specialist" films), and UCI. This section presents
a synthesis of the discussion in these interviews, highlighting the main
issues raised.
Defining "Multiplex"
There was approximate consensus regarding the optimal formula for a
multiplex cinema. One view was 8 screens and 2,400 seats (average of 300
seats per screen); 6 screens in less densely populated areas was another.
With 5 screens, a cinema was said to face problems with the distributors,
because it cannot keep films on for long enough. A site with 7 screens
or more is more attractive to distributors. Another view was that the 14-
and 18-plexes which were built in Germany are too big. The latest German
multiplexes have 10 screens. In a 14-plex, 60% of revenue comes from 3
screens; the other 11 add little.
On the subject of screen size, one view was that it is preferable to
have one very large screen (say 500-600 seats) than two or three large
ones (say 300-400 seats), given the formula for the "nut" component of
rental charges, which is based on the number of seats in the screen. The
nut is the level of box office revenue that goes to the exhibitor before
revenue is shared with the distributor.
The smallest screen should have not less than 125 seats according to
one view. Any fewer seats, and it is not possible to generate an atmosphere
of excitement for the film. Another view is that small screens should have
75-90 seats. This is helpful to distributors, especially independents.
The impact of multiplexes in the UK
The general view was that multiplexes had helped to reverse the decline
in cinema-going in the UK, but that they were by no means the main agent
of change. The demographic change had been a factor, with an increase in
the number of 15-24 year olds. Multiplexes appeal to older members of the
public, because, with their guaranteed parking, they cater for people who
drive a car. Improved quality of facilities in general, and an increased
interest in film, following the rapid growth in the video market, and more
coverage on television, had also contributed to the increase in admissions.
However, the view of the UK chains in general is that attendance in
the UK will not reach 200 million per annum, which would be the total figure
if the average person went to the cinema as often as citizens of the US.
There are a number of reasons why this might be the case: the cinema-going
culture is less strong in the UK than in the US; cars, the transport for
which multiplexes are well suited, are more widely used in the US; land
is more expensive and it is difficult to find sites in the more densely
populated UK; and it is more difficult to obtain planning permission for
development outside the city centre in the UK than in the US.
On the cost side, multiplexes provide economies of scale. A purpose
built multiplex has usually only one projection room, in the centre of
the screens. This means fewer projection staff. Also, multiplexes can take
advantage of showing one print in more than one screen. A big release is
often shown in more than one screen in a multiplex. In the UK, for example,
Jurassic Park was shown in as many as four screens in some locations.
Multiplexes in Europe
There was a view that multiplexes would not be as successful in the
rest of Europe as they have been in the UK. One of the large chains expressed
the view that expansion into Italy and France would be little short of
disastrous, and that companies that were following this strategy were only
following some dogmatic, short-sighted policy. This is not, however, a
view which is shared throughout the industry. The reason the American chains
had targeted the UK for multiplex development is the common language, and
relative similarity in business cultures. Progress elsewhere in Europe
was seen as fraught with the difficulties both of language and of breaking
into the existing tightly knit exhibition sectors. However, one of the
major multiplex operators is proposing to go ahead with multiplex development
in France and Italy.
Another problem with the northern countries in Europe is that many,
for instance Holland, Germany and France, have firm policies regarding
development of their cities. Authorities are opposed to the building of
multiplexes on the outskirts of cities, on the grounds that this would
attract people to the suburbs, thereby increasing the ongoing economic
deterioration of the city centres. This is both an economic and a social
policy.
Expensive film hire is another straightforward economic factor which
dampens the enthusiasm of the US chains for expanding in Europe. The UK
has the lowest hire rates in Europe, due to the bargaining power of the
exhibition duopoly, albeit diminished in recent years by the arrival of
greater competition. In Germany, competition between the five circuits
enables distributors to charge more. Film rental is about 42% in Germany,
compared to less than 40% in the UK - a significant difference. Why should
a US company, already doing well as a distributor in Germany, with high
rentals, expand into the unprofitable exhibition sector? In France, the
three largest French exhibition chains, Gaumont, UGC and Pathé,
were said to have an inherent advantage over any potential US or other
foreign competitors in the form of the political leverage which they enjoy.
The other basic economic factor making the rest of Europe less attractive
is cost, both of building and operating multiplexes. In mainland Europe,
legal requirements on new buildings are more stringent than in the UK.
Salaries are also higher in continental Europe than in the UK.
Specialist films
The UK chains' view of specialist, or art-house, films is that where
they are a commercial possibility they will be exploited. One chain has
what it calls a "Director's Chair" evening show in a few selected screens
where specialist films are shown. From the point of view of a distributor
of this type of film, multiplexes help to expand this market segment, by
increasing the number of small screens which are potential outlets for
films where the audience is likely to be smaller than average. However,
the US distributors have large numbers of films which they want released.
Where they are vertically integrated in exhibition they will usually prefer
to keep their own films on rather than show an independent specialist film
on which they earn a lower margin.
Econometric analysis of the success of multiplex cinemas
The discussion of the typical characteristics of cinemas of different
screen sizes suggest that multiplexes are on average built to a much higher
standard and offer more facilities for customers. Table 22 also suggests
that multiplexes achieve far higher utilisation levels. Average admissions
per seat in a two weekly period was much higher in cinemas with six or
more screens than in single screen cinemas. The same appears to be true
for cinemas with 2, or even 3-5 screens.
To test the empirical significance of these findings we undertook an
econometric analysis of the survey data. We created a sample of screens
which contained all the information which could be considered relevant
in determining utilisation levels in cinemas. These include location specific
factors, and site specific factors as well as information about the films
that a cinema typically shows.
The variables analyzed are outlined in Table 23 below. A full description
of the variables and the modelling can be found in section 2.5 on methodology.
A word of caution is required before looking at regression analysis
such as the one presented in section 2.5 and reported here. For a one week
period when exhibitors are largely committed to showing a particular film,
it is largely the success of that film which will secure high capacity
utilisation levels. Other factors come into play as a secondary influence
on admissions. There is, however, no measure of the quality or appeal of
the programme included in our regression. This does not invalidate our
analysis but serves as a warning that it is the pipeline of good and bad
films which is responsible for the commercial success of an exhibitor.
And this should not be forgotten when discussing the role and impact of
multiplexes.
The dependent variable is the logarithm of Admissions Per Seat (APS),
and this is regressed on a number of country dummy variables and screen
and site characteristics.
Table 23
Variables used in regression to explain admissions per seat.
|
Number of Screens |
This is to capture the effect of multi-screen
and multiplexes, which may inherently have higher admissions per seat than
single screen cinemas. |
Number of Performances |
This is the number of weekly performances in
a particular screen of all movies shown in that screen. |
Country Dummy |
There are 10 country dummy variables included.
Germany is the base case. |
Population Dummy |
There are 8 population categories ranging from
catchment areas of less than 25,000 to catchment areas of more than 1 million,
distinguishing between town centres and suburban areas. |
Ancillary Services |
There are 7 dummy variables for ancillary variables
ranging from the availability of a coffee bar to a video shop. |
Share of Domestic/US Films in Programme |
There are two variables, one the percentage
of domestic films, the second the percentage of US films in the screen's
programme. |
Parking |
There are two dummy variables, the first for
the availability of reserved parking for the cinema's customers, the second
for the availability of free or cheap parking. |
Booking Facilities |
There is a dummy variable for the availability
of an advance booking facility. |
Years Since Modernisation |
This is the number of years since the cinema
was modernised. |
Results
The results from our preferred specification are shown in Table 24.
Table 24
Preferred Specification of Model of Admissions per Seat
|
Variable
|
Co-efficient
|
T-statistic
|
Base |
-1.309
|
-9.331
|
Ln(Screens) |
.204
|
5.065
|
Ln(Performance) |
.790
|
16.526
|
Spain |
.337
|
4.461
|
France |
-.193
|
-2.306
|
Ireland |
.643
|
3.883
|
Italy |
-.198
|
-2.153
|
Town Centre, Pop. 1m plus |
.325
|
4.653
|
Restaurant |
.333
|
2.183
|
Poster Shop |
.238
|
2.606
|
Free/Cheap Parking |
.130
|
2.457
|
Ln(Years since Modernisation) |
-.093
|
-2.903
|
R2= .404 |
Adjusted R2=.397 |
Standard Error = .728 |
Taking Germany as the base, the presence of the other variables will
then increase or decrease admissions per seat, relative to Germany, depending
on the sign of the co-efficient.
From Table 24 we can infer:
-
The number of screens per cinema has a significant impact on admissions
per seat.
-
The number of weekly performances has a strong and significant effect but
is less than unity. This implies that there is a decreasing return to putting
on more performances.
-
The country dummies for Ireland and Spain show up as positive and significant,
as we would expect given the higher frequency of attendance in these countries
than Germany, and the not substantially different density of screens.
-
The country dummies for France and Italy are negative and significant.
This is probably a consequence of overscreening. The utilisation rate is
significantly lower in France and in Italy than in other EU countries.
-
The population variable clearly indicates that higher catchment populations
will increase the capacity utilisation.
-
The availability of free/cheap parking will increase capacity utilisation.
-
More recently modernised sites increase the capacity utilisation of screens.
What emerges from this preliminary analysis is that those features traditionally
associated with multiplexes do indeed appear to affect capacity utilisation
levels. However, as the simple tables shown in the previous section indicated,
these facilities are by no means unique to a multiplex. The fact that the
origin of films did not show up as being significant tells us either that
exhibitors follow a completely rational policy when choosing their programme
or that the origin of film did indeed not matter. Much more likely is that
it is the quality of films that matters when it comes to filling cinemas.
Multiplex versus multi-screen cinemas
We also tested whether it was possible to distinguish between the success
of multi-screen cinemas and multiplex cinemas. The survey did not allow
for a precise definition of multiplex cinemas because it did not ask whether
the cinemas was purpose built with more than 8 screens. Short of this precise
definition we have to use a definition which is based solely on the number
of screens (8+). A second regression was undertaken which, instead of the
number of screens, used an indicator that distinguished between single
screens (base case), multi-screen (3+) and multiplex (8+). This second
regression (detailed in section 1.5) confirms the success of multiplex
cinemas.
A number of other variants of these models were used, but the same
variable remained significant. From the results we can infer that there
is clear evidence for the beneficial effects of multiple screens, and the
"multiplex" effect for cinemas with 8 or more screens. The 3+ dummy says
that capacity utilisation is significantly higher in cinemas with 3 or
more screens. The 8+ dummy says that there is a benefit from having 8 or
more screens, over and above the benefit of having more than 2 screens.
The profitability of multiplexes
The interviews with key people in the exhibition industry highlighted
a lack of consensus over the issue of costs and profitability of multiplex
cinemas. The total investment required varies with the building costs,
price of land and regulation requirements in each country, thus making
a general assessment of multiplex profitability a more difficult task.
Nevertheless, we estimated the costs of a "typical" ten screen multiplex
in the UK, by using indicative data on building costs and requirements
obtained from one of the UK's multiplex operators and data on average costs
and admission levels from both the MEDIA Salles' Yearbook and the LE/BIPE
survey. All values are expressed using 1992 prices and exchange rates.
The capital costs per seat include:
-
average size of a 10 screen multiplex (4,121.6 square meters);
-
average number of seats in a 10 screen multiplex (2,284 seats);
-
furnishing and equipment cost per multiplex (2,446,260 ECUs);
-
fit out costs per square meter (1,144.2 ECUs);
-
price of land for commercial use in three locations: central London, other
town centre and out of town(10).
The capital costs per seat are then annualized (spread) over 12 years,
assuming an economic rate of return of 9%.
The operating costs are:
-
distributors' rental as percentage of gross box office (GBO);
-
VAT as a percentage of gross box office (MEDIA Salles' Yearbook);
-
labour costs as a percentage of gross box office (Industry Sources);
-
overhead costs as a percentage of gross box office.
Table 25 below shows the profitability of UK multiplexes under various
assumptions.
Three types of multiplexes were looked at: type one in a central location
in the capital, type two in a central location in another town and type
three in an out-of-town location.
Table 25:
Typical 10 screen multiplex (UK)
|
|
Type 1
(Capital)
|
Type 2
(Other town centre)
|
Type 3
(Out of town)
|
Capital cost per seat (ECUs) |
674
|
427
|
417
|
Film rental
(as a % of GBO) |
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
Labour costs (1)
(as a % of GBO) |
9%
|
9%
|
9%
|
VAT
(as a % of GBO) |
17.5%
|
17.5%
|
17.5%
|
Overhead costs
(as a % of GBO) |
5%
|
5%
|
5%
|
Total operating costs
(as a % of GBO) |
72%
|
72%
|
72%
|
Break even point assuming average admission
price of 4 ECUs
(expressed in admissions per seat per annum) |
591
|
374
|
366
|
(1) These costs are exclusive of the labour costs for concession
stands.
According to the BIPE survey, the average number of admissions per
seat per year for a ten screen multiplex was 367. Therefore, given the
average European admission price of 4 ECUs, cinemas in most town centres
are making small losses and cinemas in out of town locations would just
break even at average admission levels. However, due to the extremely high
price of land in Central London, multiplexes located in the capital would
be making a substantial loss if they charged, on average, only 4 ECUs.
Multiplexes located in London need to charge a significantly higher price
given the number of admissions in order to become profitable or earn additional
revenues from concessions and advertising.
In Table 26 below, we have analyzed the profitability of these three
types of multiplexes under various assumptions about ticket price. Profitability
was examined by comparing the number of admissions per seat per year needed
to break even with the average number of admissions of 367. The level of
profitability for each scenario is indicated by the number of pluses or
minuses (see key below table).
Table 26:
Profitability of multiplexes
|
Ticket price |
Type 1
(Capital)
|
Type 2
(Other town centre)
|
Type 3
(Out of town)
|
5 ECUs |
- -
|
+
|
+
|
4 ECUs |
- -
|
-
|
+/-
|
3 ECUs |
- -
|
- -
|
- -
|
++ = profitable (break even point more than 20 admissions below
average)
+ = marginally profitable (break even point just below average)
- = marginal loss (break even point just above average)
- - = loss making (break even point more than 20 admissions above
average)
Table 26 emphasises the point that multiplexes located in the capital
need to price tickets at a level which is substantially higher than the
European average in order to remain profitable. Multiplexes in out of town
locations, on the other hand, can afford to set prices at the average admission
price observed in Europe.
Alternatively, assuming an average ticket price of 4 ECUs, Table 27
shows profitability levels at varying levels of admissions.
Table 27:
Profitability of multiplexes (admission price: 4 ECUs)
|
|
Type 1
(Capital)
|
Type 2
(Other town centre)
|
Type 3
(Out of town)
|
300 admissions per seat per annum |
- -
|
- -
|
- -
|
400 admissions per seat per annum |
- -
|
+ +
|
++
|
Key as in Table 26
Clearly, if ticket prices are fixed at the European average of 4 ECUs,
multiplexes located in London would need to attract a far greater than
average number of customers in order to remain profitable. In fact, Central
London multiplexes would need to attract nearly 600 customers per seat
per year in order to make a profit on ticket sales.
However, it is important to note that revenue from ticket sales is
far from being the sole source of income for a multiplex. Ancillary activities,
such as advertising, tend to generate substantial revenue for multiplexes.
A multiplex who appears to be making losses when one looks solely at its
primary activity (that is selling tickets for films), may, in fact, be
making very healthy profits when revenue from all operations is taken into
account.
(9) In its survey
of European multiplexes in 1991, Screen Digest reported plans for 5 new
multiplexes in Spain for 1992, and six more in Germany.
(10) In Central London we used
a figure of 2,099 ECUs per square meter to represent the capital value
of land (including building cost and fit out cost). For other town centres
and out of town locations we used figures of 159.3 ECUs per square meter
and 108.4 per square meter respectively to represent the land price only.